• About Us
  • The Team
  • Advertise with Us

The latest news on the gaming industry in Asia

() () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () () ()
  • Home
  • Macau
  • Philippines
  • Singapore
  • Japan
  • Rest of Asia
  • World
  • Features
  • Industry Talk
  • Trends & Tech
  • follow
    • Facebook
    • Twitter
    • RSS Feed
    • LinkedIn

Macau domestically stable, wider threats remain: Vickers

Jan 16, 2017 Newsdesk Latest News, Macau, Top of the deck  


Macau domestically stable, wider threats remain: Vickers

Macau can expect “relative political stability and a reviving economy” this year, suggests the 2017 Asia Risk Assessment from Steve Vickers and Associates Ltd, a specialist risk mitigation, corporate intelligence and risk consulting company based in Hong Kong.

But the document adds that “Beijing’s current preoccupation with curtailing capital outflows, rising economic nationalism and the outside chance of a terrorist attack” on a Macau casino “still pose threats”.

The paper looks at risks for investors regarding 12 regional jurisdictions, including Macau, Hong Kong and mainland China.

Steve Vickers, the consultancy’s founder and chief executive, served for 18 years in the Royal Hong Kong Police under British administration there, and commanded the force’s Criminal Intelligence Bureau.

The annual report states that the political outlook in Macau “promises stability”, while the economic outlook “shows some signs of improvement”.

“Five consecutive months of growth in gaming revenues, from August to December 2016, suggested that the precipitous falls of recent years are, at the very least, slowing. A shift from VIP to mass market gaming and consolidation in the junket sector has also reshaped the industry,” said the report.

The Economist Intelligence Unit said in a January 5 update on the outlook for Macau, that “the continued growth” in gambling spending supports its forecast for 5.2 percent economic growth in 2017. The final five months of 2016 registered consecutive year-on-year improvements in the monthly tally of Macau casino GGR, according to Macau government data released on January 1.

A press release from ratings institution Fitch Ratings Inc, issued on December 1, said that the Macau casino market “appears poised for a long recovery”.

U.S.-China relations

But Mr Vickers’ firm said that any increase in political tensions between the U.S. and China could pose a risk to the firms operating the city’s casinos; namely to renewal of the Macau gaming concessions particularly for the foreign-controlled companies currently in the market.

“A further concern is rising economic nationalism in China, which could seep into a debate about the renewal of the six existing gaming concessions that expire in 2020 and 2022,” stated the consultancy.

“A more protectionist Beijing may wish to cultivate a national champion [in the Macau market], a stance in line with Chinese industrial policy, or refuse to countenance the renewals for foreign businesses – particularly if tensions with the U.S. rise.”

U.S.-President-elect Donald Trump and some of his nominees have recently expressed tough rhetoric regarding China. Rex Tillerson, Mr Trump’s nominee for the post of U.S. secretary of state, said at his confirmation hearing in Washington D.C. on January 11 that China should be barred from access to artificial islands it has built in the South China Sea.

Reuters news agency quoted Lu Kang, China’s foreign ministry spokesman, as saying on January 12 that he couldn’t make any guesses as to what Mr Tillerson was referring, and would not answer hypothetical questions.

But Mr Lu noted China’s right to carry out what he referred to as “normal activities” in its sovereign territory in the South China Sea was “indisputable”. Reuters said he didn’t elaborate.

Mr Trump suggested in an interview published on January 13 by the Wall Street Journal newspaper, that his administration would not necessarily remain committed to the ‘One China’ policy with regard to Taiwan.

The English-language mainland newspaper China Daily said on Monday that Beijing would “have no choice but to take off the gloves,” if Mr Trump persisted  with such an approach after taking office.

Steve Vickers and Associates noted in its risk report for 2017 with regard to Macau: “A final, and understated, threat is terrorism. Macau represents a unique agglomeration of Chinese, American and Jewish interests, engaged alongside triad societies [Chinese organised crime] in an activity [gambling] that Islamists deem sinful. Worse, the city is vulnerable.”


  • tweet
Related articles
  • Macau govt leaves door open to casino concession extension
    Macau govt leaves door open to casino...

    Dec 23, 2020  

  • Wins boost reckless play, says Asian casino baccarat study
    Wins boost reckless play, says Asian...

    Sep 22, 2020  

More news
  • Casino surveillance biz decline leads Synectics to annual loss
    Casino surveillance biz decline leads...

    Mar 03, 2021  

  • Casino op Genting Malaysia pay cuts March-May: reports
    Casino op Genting Malaysia pay cuts...

    Mar 03, 2021  


Latest News

Casino surveillance biz decline leads Synectics to annual loss

Casino surveillance biz decline leads Synectics to annual loss

Mar 03, 2021  

Surveillance technology specialist Synectics Plc, an equipment supplier to the land-based casino industry in Asia-Pacific including in Macau and Singapore, reported a consolidated loss of nearly...
Read More
Casino op Genting Malaysia pay cuts March-May: reports

Casino op Genting Malaysia pay cuts March-May: reports

Mar 03, 2021  

IGT quarterly loss doubles sequentially 4Q as revenue dips

IGT quarterly loss doubles sequentially 4Q as revenue dips

Mar 03, 2021  

Sign up to our FREE Newsletter

UB8V5.qr.16(Click here for more)

Partners

Pick of the Day

“As a leaner, stronger company, we expect leverage to return to pre-pandemic levels in the next 12-18 months”

Max Chiara

Chief financial officer at gaming product and lottery services provider International Game Technology



Most Popular

  • Galaxy Macau to add Raffles-branded hotel towerGalaxy Macau to add Raffles-branded hotel tower March 1, 2021
  • Macau casino GGR down 9pct m-o-m in February: govtMacau casino GGR down 9pct m-o-m in February: govt March 1, 2021
  • Melco’s Lawrence Ho hopeful on Macau recovery in MarchMelco’s Lawrence Ho hopeful on Macau recovery in March February 26, 2021
  • Covid-19 test cert no longer needed for Macau casino entryCovid-19 test cert no longer needed for Macau casino entry March 2, 2021
  • Macau VIP challenged by changes in China: Galaxy Ent bossMacau VIP challenged by changes in China: Galaxy Ent boss February 25, 2021
Copyright 2014-2020 TEAM Publishing and Consultancy Ltd / All rights reserved
  • Code of Ethics
  • Privacy Policy
  • Useful Links
  • Contact Us