Tuesday’s opening of casino resort Studio City (pictured) on Cotai in Macau is “a key catalyst” for the city’s gaming industry, says brokerage Wells Fargo.
“In our view, that Studio City is opening on October 27 is a key event for [casino developer Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd], and likely a ‘lightning rod’ for both bulls and bears [regarding Macau’s casino sector],” analyst Cameron McKnight wrote in a Friday note.
He added: “We believe the extent to which Studio City grows the market is likely to drive stocks.”
Melco Crown owns a 60-percent stake on Studio City and will manage the project. New Cotai LLC, controlled by funds managed by United States-based investment firms Silver Point Capital LP and Oaktree Capital Management LP, owns the remaining 40 percent.
Studio City will have a figure of eight Ferris wheel, a 300-seat theatre as centrepiece of the resort’s ‘The House of Magic’ shows’, a virtual reality ride called ‘Batman Dark Flight’, and a ‘Warner Bros. Fun Zone’, based on that Hollywood brand’s popular animated characters.
Mr McKnight stated that “the Studio City site has considerable long-term appeal; our checks suggest the property is very impressive.” He however raised some near-term concerns, including Studio City “opening into a weak market”.
Market wide in Macau, accumulated gross gaming revenue (GGR) for the July to September period was down 34.4 percent year-on-year. The city has posted 16 consecutive months of year-on-year decreases in GGR and October is likely to follow the trend, say several investment analysts covering the sector.
Another concern raised by Wells Fargo is the reported absence of VIP gaming at Studio City. Macau’s Secretary for Economy and Finance, Lionel Leong Vai Tac, said last week that one of the reasons why the government had allocated 250 new-to-market gaming tables to Studio City was the absence of VIP rooms in the property.
“A dominant grind mass focus could constrain initial results,” Mr McKnight stated in his Friday note.
A total of 200 new-to-market tables can be operated at Studio City from day one, with the remainder available from January 1, 2016, according to Mr Leong.
Mr McKnight added that the ongoing construction works around Studio City could also be near-term concern. The property is located besides the Parisian Macao, from casino operator Sands China Ltd, currently under-construction and scheduled to open in the second half of next year.
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”We expect Goa to quickly become a US$1 billion market as it transitions to land-based casinos (from US$150 million today), which is still just a fraction of India’s total GGR potential of US$10 billion to US$17 billion”
Analyst at Union Gaming Securities Asia