The Macau government should replace its casino concession system by an open-market licensing model, says a Macau scholar. Wang Changbin (pictured), associate professor of the Gaming Teaching and Research Centre at Macao Polytechnic Institute, argues the current system hinders the industry’s development.
“A free market will make Macau stronger and more competitive,” Mr Wang said. He added it could promote economic diversification – one of the goals of the Macau government – making the city less dependent on gaming revenues, since increased competition would push casino operators to differentiate their non-gaming offering.
Mr Wang was talking at the Macao Gaming Summit, the conference accompanying the Macao Gaming Show. The trade show began on Tuesday at casino resort Venetian Macao and runs until Thursday.
He said the renewal process of the current casino concessions is likely to be problematic. “How can the government organise a fair and effective tender when six concessionaires are already in the market?” Mr Wang questioned.
The Macau government has stated several times that it intends to start examining the renewal of the concessions between 2015 and 2016. Macau’s six casino concessions expire between 2020 and 2022.
Macau casino operators have a unique advantage in the sense that they operate in an oligopoly, where a small group of players dominate the market, Mr Wang said. That gives concessionaires more bargaining power with the government – for instance, the concession model might make it harder to remove a company from the market if it is not performing well, he pointed out.
Mr Wang noted that while the current concession system formally only allows for up to six market players, there are several ways to bypass the rules, by setting agreements with incumbent operators.
Mr Wang suggested Macau to end all restrictions on the number of concessionaires and casinos. “Lets welcome a free but well regulated market,” he proposed.
Mr Wang added there should also be no restrictions on the period of operation of gaming operators; an administrative licence renewal process should replace that.
He dismissed concerns that a model with no limits to the number of operators and casinos could lead to an over-expansion of the gaming industry. That could be prevented by “sound urban planning” and by market forces, Mr Wang argued.
He said: “A larger gaming industry is not a problem, but a badly regulated gaming industry is problematic.”
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”We expect Goa to quickly become a US$1 billion market as it transitions to land-based casinos (from US$150 million today), which is still just a fraction of India’s total GGR potential of US$10 billion to US$17 billion”
Analyst at Union Gaming Securities Asia