The Macau government has forecast the city’s casino gross gaming revenue (GGR) will reach MOP236 billion (US$29.43 billion) for full-year 2026, according to its freshly-issued 2026 fiscal budget plan.
That would represent a 3.5-percent increase from the government’s revised June forecast for full-year 2025 GGR, of MOP228 billion. That revision had been announced after worse-than-expected gaming performance from November 2024 to April this year.
In its 2026 fiscal budget document, the Macau government acknowledged recent improved performance from the tourism and gaming sectors, and that the city’s monthly casino GGR surpassed MOP20 billion for four consecutive months from May to August this year.
The government’s latest document mentioned that what it termed the positive momentum observed in the tourism sector is likely to continue into 2026.
Though the government also noted, in regard to its 2026 casino GGR forecast: “Based on the consideration of the external environment and economic uncertainties… and the principle of fiscal prudence, the Macau Special Administrative Region Government has estimated the full-year 2026 gross gaming revenue as MOP236 billion, the principal basis for the fiscal income of the 2026 budget plan.”
The 2026 fiscal budget plan is due for deliberation at Macau’s Legislative Assembly.
The income from taxes on the gaming sector is estimated to reach MOP92.53 billion for 2026, according to the 2026 fiscal budget plan.
Out of that amount, the government expects to collect MOP82.60 billion in relation to what the city authorities refer to as the “special gaming tax” rate of 35-percent on GGR. Other payments take the effective tax-take on GGR up to 40 percent.
The freshly-issued document also outlined that the 2026 government income from tax on commissions paid by casinos to licensed gaming promoters or “junkets”, would be MOP150 million.
